The Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zenskyp talks in Paris on Thursday with the Coalition of the Willing about security guarantees. Experts call the conversations “premature”, especially now that a peace agreement is far away. “Donald Trump wants to maintain his relationship with Russia.”
After the encounter between US President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska, the diplomatic roads to a peace file seemed a little passable. But after the unrealistic Russian proposal to Ukraine to give up the Donbas in exchange for peace, an end of the war is far away. In the meantime, the battle on the battlefield continues unabated.
Trump says he is disappointed in Putin and has threatened several times to impose heavy sanctions on Russia if there are not new negotiations. But after several passes deadlines, he does not seem to put the word into the word. “Putin now gets the signal that he can perform bombing of bombing in Ukraine,” says Russia connoisseur Laura Starink.
And for the time being there seems to be no change in that, László also sees Marácz. He is professor of Eastern European studies at the University of Amsterdam. He notes that Trump is becoming less and less involved in the war in Ukraine, partly because he wants to strengthen ties with Russia. Russia is a large producer of oil and rich in rare earth metals, says Marácz. That makes the country interesting for Trump to conclude business deals.
In addition, according to the experts, the war in Ukraine for Trump is just a piece of a larger puzzle. “Because of Ukraine and Europe, he has little time left to deal with other diplomatic issues that he may find more important, such as China’s threat.”
Trump wants to get between Russia and China
Trump wants to prevent Russia and China from growing closer to each other and therefore benefits from keeping Putin a friend. The Russian president met Chinese President Xi Jinping on Wednesday at a top of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) in Tianjin, just south of the Chinese capital Beijing.
Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un were also guests in Beijing on Thursday for a large military parade. On his Platform Truth Social, Trump wrote that Xi, Putin and Kim conspire against the United States. The Kremlin denied that in a statement.
“China and Russia have been a threatening block for the US for decades,” says America Cider Koen Petersen. “By maintaining a bond with Russia, Trump tries to intervene.”
‘Trump now understands that he cannot just end War’
According to Marácz, the US president also found that the war between Russia and Ukraine is a complicated conflict in which various interests, cultures and identities play a role. “He now understands that he cannot just end this war with a deal.” That can be Trump, who has promised several times that he would provide peace between the two fighting countries at lightning speed.
That is why he may deduct his hands from the conflict. The Trump government threatened to do so if Russia and Ukraine would not quickly make concessions. “We need to know if peace is possible at all,” said American foreign minister Marco Rubio in April. “Otherwise we will continue. This is not our war.”
Europe and Ukraine would then be more dependent on themselves. This will certainly not make any debt of failed negotiations to be with Trump, but the partnership between European countries will then be further isolated. “The countries are on the sidelines and are not taken seriously by Putin,” says Starink. “As long as they don’t sit at the negotiating table with Putin, they can’t do anything.”
‘Diplomatic solution far away’
The so -called Coalition of the Willing nevertheless speaks on Thursday about the security guarantees that have to protect Ukraine, in the event that a peace file ever comes to the table. After the conversation, the European leaders call Trump.
According to French President Emmanuel Macron, the security guarantees are already ready and they will be approved on Thursday. The Ministers of Defense of the Coalition of the Willing already spoke to each other on Wednesday, including outgoing minister Ruben Brekelmans.
The experts call the conversations about security guarantees “premature”, because both from Russia and Ukraine do not sound sounds about an agreement for a cease-fire or long-term peace. Whether that will come soon, they doubt.
“It is currently an exhaustion war,” says Starink. That would mean that the battle on the battlefield will no longer continue to fight one of the parties and be forced to make concessions. “I see it gloomy, because a diplomatic solution seems far away.”
Ukrainian President VolodyMyr Zensky Will Speak in Paris on Thursday with the coalition of the Willing About Security Guarantees. Experts Call the Talks “Premature,” Especiate Now That a Peace Agreement is Far Away. “Donald Trump Wants to Maintain His Ties with Russia.”
After the Meeting Between US President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska, The Diplomatic Paths to a Ceasefire Seemed a Tiny Bit Passable. But after the unreistic russian proposal to ukraine to give up the donbas in Exchange for Peace, an end to the war is far away. Meanwhile, the battle on the battlefield continues unabated.
Trump Says He is Disappointed in Putin and Has Repeatedly Threated to Impose Heavy Sanctions on Russia If New Negotiations Do Not Take Place Soon. But after several missed deadlines, he does not seem to put his money where his mouth is. “Putin is now getting the signal that can carry out bombings in Ukraine with impunity,” Says Russia expert Laura Starink.
And there seems to be no change in this for the time being, lászló marácz also sees. He is a professor of Eastern European Studies at the University of Amsterdam. He notes that Trump is Becoming Less Involved in the war in Ukraine, Partly because the Wants to Strengthen Ties with Russia. Russia is a major producer of Oil and Rich in weird Earth Metals, Marácz Says. That makes the country interesting for trump to make business deals with.
Accordance to experts, the war in Ukraine is just one piece of a larger puzzle for trump. “Because of ukraine and Europe, he has little time left to deal with other diplomatic issues that May Consider More Important, Such as the threat from China.”
Trump Wants To Come Between Russia And China
Trump Wants to Prevent Russia and China from Growing Closer Together and Therefore Benefits from Keeping Putin Friendly. The Russian President with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Wednesday at a Summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) in Tianjin, Just South of the Chinese Capital Beijing.
Putin and North Korean Leader Kim Jong-un Were also guests in Beijing on Thursday for a major military parade. Trump then wrote on his platform Truth Social That XI, Putin and Kim Are Plotting Against the United States. The Kremlin Denied This in A Statement.
“China and Russia Have Together Been a Threatening Bloc for the US for Decades,” Says America Expert Koen Petersen. “By Maintaining Ties with Russia, Trump is trying to intervene.”
‘Trump Now Understands That Cannot Simply End The War’
Accordance to Marácz, The American President Has also noted that the war between Russia and Ukraine is a complex conflict in which varous interests, cultures and identities play a role. “He now understands that canot simply end this war with a deal.” That could cause trump, who has repeatedly promised that would quickly Ensure Peace between the Two Fighting Countries, to Lose Face.
Therefore, he may be withdrawing his hands from the conflict. The Trump Administration had PreviOutly Threatesed to do So If Russia and Ukraine Did not Make Concessions Soon. “We need to know if peace is equally Possible,” US Secretary of State Marco Rubio Said in April. “Otherwise, we’ll move on. This is not our war.”
Europe and ukraine would be more gapendent on Themselves. This mean that the Possible blame for failed negotiations will not lie with trump in any case, but the partnership between European Countries Will Become Further Isolated. “The Countries Are On The Sidelines And Are Not Tasks SeriOutly by Putin,” Says Starink. “As long as they are not at the negotiating table with putin, they can do nothing.”
‘Diplomatic Solution far away’
The So-Called Coalition of the Willing is Neverberness discussing on Thursday the Security Guarantees That Should Protect Ukraine, in case A Ceasefire Ever Comes to the Table. After The Meeting, The European Leaders Will Call Trump.
Accordance to French President Emmanuel Macron, The Security Guarantees Are Already Ready and Will Be Approved On Thursday. The Defense Ministers of the Coalition of the Willing Already Spoke on Wednesday, Including Outgoing Minister Ruben Brekelmans.
Experts call the talks about Security Guarantees “Premature” because no sounds are Heard from Either Russia or Ukraine about an Agreement for a Ceasefire or Lasting Peace. They Doubt Whether That Will Happen Anytime Soon.
“It is Currently A War of Attrition,” Says Starink. That would mean that the battle on the battlefield will continuous until one of the parties can no longer continuous fighting and is forced to make concessions. “I see it somberly, because a diplomatic solution seems far away.”