The election campaign really has to start, but it is already certain that the next cabinet must make a considerable catch -up. Quite a few headache files have remained and repair work is desperately needed. There is also a ‘windfall’: no money is required to an extra purchasing power increase.
That image rises from the most recent estimate of the Central Planning Bureau (CPB), which was published on Thursday. “In a number of areas we had it slipped a bit for a while,” says CPB director Pieter Hasekamp to Nu.nl. “There must be a little extra.”
The prospects are fine in itself. The Dutch economy is growing steadily, although there are of course quite a few uncertainties internationally. There is a war in Europe and US President Donald Trump is to say the least fickle with his changing import duties. But all in all, the image is positive and the Netherlands is doing better than other countries.
But the stack with problem files will increase in the coming years. The CPB lists: aging, defense, climate, nitrogen, a simpler tax system, living. Something really needs to be done in the short term.
“Otherwise you will soon notice the negative consequences of that on some points,” says Hasekamp. “For example, look at the nitrogen crisis. The Netherlands really needs the lock. Then you also immediately tackle the housing problem.”
The nitrogen problem has been playing since 2019, when the judge reached an end by the nitrogen policy. The nitrogen emissions and the battle had to be considerably reduced to better protect nature. Until that time, only permits are issued in a little bit in which nitrogen is emitted, such as with housing.
But six years later there is still no shot in the case. Nitrogen policy came with a lot of pain and effort. But before that could be done well, it now made a line of outgoing cabinet. The newest plans are so buttery that farmers’ organizations, provinces, municipalities and water boards themselves came with a proposal themselves.
A similar picture can be seen in climate policy. The Netherlands is not on track to achieve its own climate goal for 2030. And the Cabinet Schoof did not succeed in sealing that gap. If the next cabinet does have that ambition, then it has to work hard. Here too there are still enough repair work.
With the statement for Defense, the politics is different again. Together with many other European countries, the Netherlands has long benefited from the so -called peace dividend. The Americans paid for our safety. The Netherlands spent a lot on defense year after year.
Due to the new NATO standard of 5 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP), a lot of money now has to be added. In 2035 this will eventually amount to 19 billion euros in extra expenditure on Defense. Every year again. “We have to catch up,” says Hasekamp about this.
What if little or nothing happens in all these areas? The CPB also made it clear on Thursday with an additional publication about the national debt for the long term. If nothing changes in the policy in the coming years, the debt will rise to no less than 126 percent of GDP. Now that percentage is just under 50 percent.
That estimate is surrounded by many mits and buts, the Planning Bureau itself emphasizes. First of all, this level is only reached in 2060. In the meantime, of course, things happen that aff. In addition, you know one thing for sure: policy does not remain unchanged.
The Netherlands also does not come into acute payment problems, the CPB assures. Yet it is already a warning for the forming parties in the SPE.
“You move a bill to future generations,” says Hasekamp. “You can already see that interest rates are rising. If that development continues, then an ever-increasing part of the government spending goes to the debt that has been built up in the past. While you want to invest in the future.”
In one section, the government does not have to spend extra money in view of the current figures. But let that be exactly what politics would like to pull the wallet for: purchasing power improvement.
The purchasing power plates only look great. Almost every group will improve something in the coming years, all about the same amount. “The government does not have to do anything extra there, although that is of course a political assessment,” says Hasekamp.
There is a good chance that the CPB boss will be invited again during the formation to explain the position of the economy to the then forming parties. Hasekamp: “Then this is also my message.”
The Election Campaign Has Yet To Really Beginning, But It is Already Clear That The Next Cabinet Will Have To Make A Considerable Catch-Up. QUITE A FEW PROBLEM FILES HAVE BON LEFT AND Recovery Work is Badly Needed. There is also a ‘Windfall’: No Money is needed for extra purchase power increases.
That image emerges from the most recently estimate by the Netherlands agency for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB), which was published on Thursday. “In a number of areas we have leg a bit negligent for a while,” CPB director Pieter Hasekamp Tells Nu.nl. “We need to step it up.”
The prospects are actual good. The Dutch Economy is Growing Steadily, Although There Are Of Course QUITE A FEW Uncertainties Internationale. There is a war in Europe and US President Donald Trump is, to say the Least, Erratic with his Changing Import Duties. But All in All, The Picture is Positive and The Netherlands is Doing Better Than Other Countries.
But the pile of problem files is getting bigger and bigger in the coming years. The CPB Lists: Aging, Defense, Climate, Nitrogen, A Simpler Tax System, Housing. Something really needs to be done about that in the short term.
“Otherwise you will very quickly notice the negative consequences in some areas,” Says Hasekamp. “Look at the nitrogen crisis, for example. The Netherlands really needs to get off the lock. Then you also immediately tackle the housing problem.”
The Nitrogen Problem Has Been Going on Since 2019, When the Judge Imediately Put A Stop To The Nitrogen Policy. Nitrogen Emissions and Deposition had to be drastically reduced to better protect nature. Until then, only a limited number or permits are Issued for emitting nitrogen, such as in housing construction.
But six years later, there is still no progress in the matter. Nitrogen Policy was created with great pain and effort. But before it could be Properly Implemented, The Now Outgoing Cabinet Put A Stop To It. The latest Plans are so soft that Farmers’ Organizations, Provinces, Municipalities and Water Boards Themselves Came Up With a Proposal on Thursday.
A Similar Picture Can Be Seen with Climate Policy. The Netherlands is not on track to achieve its own climate target for 2030. And the Schoof Cabinet has not succeeded in Closing That Gap. If a next cabinet does have that ambition, it will have to work hard. So there is still plenty of recovery work to be done here too.
With the task for defense, The Politics are Different Again. The Netherlands, Together with many other European Countries, Has Long Benefited from the so-called peace dividend. The Americans Paid for Our Safety. The Netherlands Cut Back Significantly On Defense Year after year.
Due to the New Nato Standard of 5 percent or Gross Domestic Product (GDP), A Lot of Money Now has to be Added. In 2035, this will Ultimately Amount to 19 Billion Euros in extra Defense Spending. Every year again. “We have to catch up,” Says Hasekamp About this.
What if little or nothing happens in all thesis areas? The CPB also Made the Consequences Clear on Thursday with an Extra Publication on the National Debt for the Long Term. If Nothing Changes in Policy in the Coming Years, The Debt Will Rise to No Less Than 126 percent of GDP. Now that percentage is just under 50 percent.
That Estimate is surrounded by many ifs and buts, the planning agency itself emphasizes. First of All, This Level Will Only Be Reached in 2060. In The Meantime, of Course, Unexpected Things Will Happen That Will Influence This. You can be sure of one thing: policy will not remain unchanged.
The Netherlands will also not Run Into Acute Payment Problems, The CPB Assures. But it is Already a Warning to the Forming Parties in Spe.
“You are fit a Bill on to Future Generations,” Says Hasekamp. “You can alreaDy see that interest Expenses are rising. If that development continues, an increasing part of government spending will go to the debt that has bone build in the past. While you want to invest in the future.”
The Cabinet does not have to spend any extra money on one part, Given the Current Figures. But that is precisely what politicians like to spend money on: Improving Purchasing Power.
The Purchasing Power Figures Look Great. Almost Every Group Will Improve Somewhat In The Coming Years, All about the Same. “The Government does not have to do anything extra, although that is of course a political consultation,” Says Hasekamp.
There is a good chance that the cpb boss will be invited again the formation to explain the state of the economy to the forming parties. Hasekamp: “Then this is also my message.”